Denver
Broncos 0-3
(-1)
@ New York Jets 0-3
(39.5):
Jets
17-13 Broncos 37-28
Thursday, 8:20 PM, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ (Weather: Clear; low 50s)
Keys: The only team in worse shape than the New York Jets might be the Denver Broncos, but at least they can blame their troubles on a month’s worth of attrition to key players. The Jets have just strong enough an offensive line to fend off the one thing the Broncos are supposed to do well, and while the Broncos can cover the Jets just fine, Denver will be rolling out Brett Rypien, their third QB in as many weeks, and this dude will be making his first start on the road. Unless he hands the ball over to Melvin Gordon 30 times and the Jets horrendous defense does their thing, or Brett’s uncle plays in his place and channels a 1992 Super Bowl MVP performance, I expect the Jets to take advantage of the depleted Broncos and finally get a win at home on the worst turf known to man. Hopefully the Broncos get out of northeast NJ with a full team.
I need to stop calling TNF games.
Seattle
Seahawks 3-0
(-5.5)
@ Miami Dolphins 2-0 (54):
Seahawks
27-21 Seahawks 31-23
Sunday, 1:00 PM, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL (Weather: Mostly Sunny; low 80s)
Keys: There’s no reason to believe the Seahawks can’t cover the 5.5 points when the Seahawks are flying high, the intercontinental travel means nothing to Pete Carroll’s teams and Russell Wilson is on fire. The question is whether the Dolphins can hold up their end of the bargain on the over. I doubt it.
I really regret not making this one of my Top 5 picks of the week, but just like our pathetic reaction to covid-19, hindsight is 20/20.
Jacksonville
Jaguars 1-2
(+2.5)
v. Cincinnati Bengals 0-2-1
(49):
Bengals
23-21 Bengals 33-25
Sunday, 1:00 PM, Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH (Weather: 50% rain; low 60s)
Keys: Why couldn’t this be the game that was postponed due to covid?
These teams combined for nearly 1,000 total yards, which seems insane, but clearly I don't have a clue.
Minnesota Vikings 0-3 (+3.5) @ Houston Texans 0-3 (53.5): Texans 30-24 Vikings 31-23
Sunday, 1:00 PM, NRG Stadium, Houston, TX (Weather: Indoors)
Keys: If you bet these teams starting 0-3 you might be rich, because no one in the world had either team in this position, let alone both.
This game was 31-16 late in the 4th quarter and Bill O'Brien got axed after the game. I also drafted Deshaun Watson in both of my fantasy leagues.
Cleveland
Browns 2-1
*(+4)
@ Dallas Cowboys
1-2
(56):
Browns
30-27 Browns 49-38
Sunday, 1:00 PM, AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX (Weather: Indoors)
Keys: Something about the Browns getting four points seems like something to take advantage of.
What a barn burner. I hope you took the points. The Cardiac Cowboys almost pulled off another miracle, but instead they fell to 1-3, which, if you remember, should really be 0-4. If not for the NFC East, these dudes would be in the desert without a horse.
Baltimore
Ravens 2-1
(-14)
@ Washington Football
Team
1-2
(45.5): Ravens
30-17 Ravens 31-17
Sunday, 1:00 PM, FedEx Field, Landover, MD (Weather: Mostly Sunny; high 60s)
Keys: The Ravens don’t have to travel far to avenge their loss v. the Kansas City Chiefs, but do you really expect the score to be 31-15? Maybe so, maybe not.
So close.
New
Orleans Saints 1-2
(-3)
@ Detroit Lions 1-2
(54):
Saints
27-23 Saints 35-29
Sunday, 1:00 PM, Ford Field, Detroit, MI (Weather: Indoors)
Keys: Meh.
Turns out it was anything but meh.
Arizona
Cardinals
2-1
(-3)
@ Carolina Panthers 1-2
(51.5):
Cardinals
27-21 Panthers 31-21
Sunday, 1:00 PM, Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC (Weather: Mostly Sunny; high 60s s)
Keys: I though the Panthers would disappear after losing Run CMC, but the ended up beating the...oh yeah, Los Angeles Chargers. Never mind.
The Panthers keep surprising us post-Run CMC, and they certainly surprised the Cardinals.
Los
Angeles Chargers 1-2
*(+7)
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2-1
(42.5):
Buccaneers
24-20 Buccaneers 38-31
Sunday, 1:00 PM, Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL (Weather: 80% storms; low 80s)
Keys: As you might’ve guessed, I’ve given up on the Los Angeles Chargers, but necessarily on their ability to cover...yet.
It didn't always look the greatest, but Tom Brady threw 5 TD passes, including zero to $10M-man Rob Gronkowski. He also threw a pick-six for the fourth time in the last six games, which is almost Eli Manning-level bad.
New
York Giants 0-3
(+13)
@ Los Angeles Rams 2-1 *(48):
Rams
30-13 Rams 17-9
Sunday, 4:05 PM, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA (Weather: Indoors)
Keys: The New York Giants have no chance. I’m not even sure they can keep it within two TDs.
Not only did the Rams not cover, they barely won. So much for that Top pick of the week. Who cares, did you see the fight? How many times in a lifetime do you get a CB/WR match up between two almost in-laws in a serious off-the-field beef? Gold(en). Sorry.
Buffalo
Bills 3-0 (-3.5)
@
Las
Vegas
Raiders 2-1
(52.5):
Bills
27-21 Bills 30-23
Sunday, 4:05PM, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV (Weather: Indoors)
Keys: This is a pretty ridiculous O/U, but the Bills aren’t winning by shutting teams out, so, maybe it isn’t. The Raiders are so inconsistent it’s impossible to gauge them week-to-week. The reality is the Raiders are far worse then we think and the Bills are far better.
The Bills are scary, and I never thought the scariest part would be their offense, but I was in the minority of people that thought Josh Allen would have instant success. Of course I thought it would be solely on his cannon arm and that he would lumber around like Ben Roethlisberger, so I can't claim too much credit.
Indianapolis
Colts 2-1 *(-3)
@ Chicago Bears 3-0
(43):
Colts
27-17 Colts 19-11
Sunday, 4:25 PM, Soldier Field, Chicago, IL (Weather: Clearing and windy; high 50s)
Keys: The Bears are no 3-0 football team and let’s just leave it at that.
Five FGs highlighted this snooze fest, but if you followed PFM's advice you made out on the Top 5 pick of the week.
Philadelphia
Eagles 0-2-1 (+7)
@ San Francisco 49ers 2-1
(45):
49ers 27-23 Eagles 25-20
Sunday, 8:20 PM, Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA (Weather: Mostly clear; high 50s)
Keys: Give me a break, the Eagles are not this bad, they’re just going through a funk. Seven points? With everything the 49ers have gone through??
I told you the Eagles getting seven points against these wounded 49ers was ridiculous.
New
England Patriots 2-1 (+12)
@ Kansas City Chiefs 3-0
(49):
Chiefs
24-21 Chiefs 26-10
Monday, 7;05 PM, Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO (Weather: Gusty; high 50s)
Keys: This game was postponed due to Cam Newton’s positive covid-19 test, but somehow only 24 hours no one else did. Do the math, the Patriots likely aren’t winning, but Bill Belichick knows Andy Reid and the Chiefs too well to lose by two TDs, and the Patriots can run on a porous Chiefs run defense.
Let's get real, this game should've ended 19-10, at the very least, meaning I would've nailed the New England cover, too. Effing Honey Badger. Or Julian Edleman. Whatever.
Atlanta
Falcons 0-3
(+7)
@ Green Bay Packers 3-0
(57)*:
Packers
35-27 Packers 30-16
Monday, 8:15 PM, Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI (Weather: Mostly cloudy; low 50s)
Keys: The Packers are home against the Bad News Birds, so make it rain.
Thanks for putting in the effort, Atlanta. I should've known these birds can't fly outdoors, especially with clipped wings. I guess I just figured the Packers would get the over almost on their own.
Note: Tennessee Titans @ Pittsburgh Steelers forced into "bye week" & New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs PPD until Monday at 7:05 pm due to covid-19.
Stay tuned for PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA Week 5: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) THURSDAY NIGHT EDITION coming Thursday!
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