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Wednesday, September 30, 2020

PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA Week 4: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) COVID-LOOMS EDITION

 

2020 NFL SEASON 
P R O F O O T B A L L M E D I A
Week 4:  #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) 
COVID-LOOMS EDITION
 
2020 WEEK 3 TOTALS:
10-5-1 .667 (WINS); 6-10 .375 (ATS); 9-7 .563 (O/U)
 
2020 SEASON TOTALS:
33-14-1 .700 (WINS); 23-25 .479 (ATS); 25-25 .500 (O/U)
 
TOP 5 GAMES 2020 SEASON TOTAL:
8-7 .500 

 
Key (when applicable): Statistical analysis based on the following metrics (abbreviations): EWL (Expected W-L record); SoS (Strength of Schedule); SRS (Simple Rating System from PFR); Points scored (PF); points against (PA); Point differential (PD) Yards gained (YG); Yards allowed (YA); Red Zone TD efficiency (RZ); 1st downs (1st); 3rd-down efficiency (3rd); Turnover ratio (TO); Time of possession (TOP); Yards per play (YPP); P/R NY/A (Pass/Rush Net yards/attempt); Sacks (S); Interceptions (INT); Penalty yards (PEN); Against the spread (ATS). *All images from Google using Creative Commons license unless otherwise stated (including source)
 
 
DISCLAIMER: PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA IS FOR ANALYZING NFL FOOTBALL GAMES AND IS NOT A BETTING WEBSITE  
 
 
Last season PFM began the < Drake voice > "TOP 5 TOP 5 TOP 5" segment, where PFM chooses their Top 5 Betting Games of the Week using either the spread OR O/U (denoted by an asterisk *). Roll with our Top 5 and watch the money pile up all season!
 
Good luck at the window this season and enjoy the 2020 NFL season whiles it lasts, because with the ways things are going it won't be long! 
 
 
Sam Darnold and the New York Jets have struggled in 2020, but who of us hasn't?
 
 

Denver Broncos 0-3 (-1) @ New York Jets 0-3 (39.5): Jets 17-13

Thursday, 8:20 PM, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ (Weather: Clear; low 50s)

Keys: The only team in worse shape than the New York Jets might be the Denver Broncos, but at least they can blame their troubles on a month’s worth of attrition to key players. The Jets have just strong enough an offensive line to fend off the one thing the Broncos are supposed to do well, and while the Broncos can cover the Jets just fine, Denver will be rolling out Brett Rypien, their third QB in as many weeks, and this dude will be making his first start on the road. Unless he hands the ball over to Melvin Gordon 30 times and the Jets horrendous defense does their thing, or Brett’s uncle plays in his place and channels a 1992 Super Bowl MVP performance, I expect the Jets to take advantage of the depleted Broncos and finally get a win at home on the worst turf known to man. Hopefully the Broncos get out of northeast NJ with a full team. 



Seattle Seahawks 3-0 (-5.5) @ Miami Dolphins 2-0 (54): Seahawks 27-21

Sunday, 1:00 PM, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL (Weather: Mostly Sunny; low 80s)


Keys: There’s no reason to believe the Seahawks can’t cover the 5.5 points when the Seahawks are flying high, the intercontinental travel means nothing to Pete Carroll’s teams and Russell Wilson is on fire. The question is whether the Dolphins can hold up their end of the bargain on the over. I doubt it.



Jacksonville Jaguars 1-2 (+2.5) v. Cincinnati Bengals 0-2-1 (49): Bengals 23-21

Sunday, 1:00 PM, Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH (Weather: 50% rain; low 60s)


Keys: Why couldn’t this be the game that was postponed due to covid?



Minnesota Vikings 0-3 (+3.5) @ Houston Texans 0-3 (53.5): Texans 30-24

Sunday, 1:00 PM, NRG Stadium, Houston, TX (Weather: Indoors)


Keys: If you bet these teams starting 0-3 you might be rich, because no one in the world had either team in this position, let alone both.



Cleveland Browns 2-1 *(+4) @ Dallas Cowboys 1-2 (56): Browns 30-27

Sunday, 1:00 PM, AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX (Weather: Indoors)

Keys: Something about the Browns getting four points seems like something to take advantage of.



Baltimore Ravens 2-1 (-14) @ Washington Football Team 1-2 (45.5): Ravens 30-17

Sunday, 1:00 PM, FedEx Field, Landover, MD (Weather: Mostly Sunny; high 60s)


Keys: The Ravens don’t have to travel far to avenge their loss v. the Kansas City Chiefs, but do you really expect the score to be 31-15? Maybe so, maybe not.




New Orleans Saints 1-2 (-3) @ Detroit Lions 1-2 (54): Saints 27-23

Sunday, 1:00 PM, Ford Field, Detroit, MI (Weather: Indoors)


Keys: Meh.



Arizona Cardinals 2-1 (-3) @ Carolina Panthers 1-2 (51.5): Cardinals 27-21

Sunday, 1:00 PM, Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC (Weather: Mostly Sunny; high 60s s)


Keys: I though the Panthers would disappear after losing Run CMC, but the ended up beating the...oh yeah, Los Angeles Chargers. Never mind.




Los Angeles Chargers 1-2 *(+7) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2-1 (42.5): Buccaneers 24-20

Sunday, 1:00 PM, Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL (Weather: 80% storms; low 80s)


Keys: As you might’ve guessed, I’ve given up on the Los Angeles Chargers, but necessarily on their ability to cover...yet.



New York Giants 0-3 (+13) @ Los Angeles Rams 2-1 *(48): Rams 30-13

Sunday, 4:05 PM, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA (Weather: Indoors)


Keys: The New York Giants have no chance. I’m not even sure they can keep it within two TDs.



Buffalo Bills 3-0 (-3.5) @ Las Vegas Raiders 2-1 (52.5): Bills 27-21

Sunday, 4:05PM, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV (Weather: Indoors)


Keys: This is a pretty ridiculous O/U, but the Bills aren’t winning by shutting teams out, so, maybe it isn’t. The Raiders are so inconsistent it’s impossible to gauge them week-to-week. The reality is the Raiders are far worse then we think and the Bills are far better.



Indianapolis Colts 2-1 *(-3) @ Chicago Bears 3-0 (43): Colts 27-17

Sunday, 4:25 PM, Soldier Field, Chicago, IL (Weather: Clearing and windy; high 50s)

Keys: The Bears are no 3-0 football team and let’s just leave it at that.



Philadelphia Eagles 0-2-1 (+7) @ San Francisco 49ers 2-1 (45): 49ers 27-23

Sunday, 8:20 PM, Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA (Weather: Mostly clear; high 50s)

Keys: Give me a break, the Eagles are not this bad, they’re just going through a funk. Seven points? With everything the 49ers have gone through?? 

 


New England Patriots 2-1 (+12) @ Kansas City Chiefs 3-0 (49): Chiefs 24-21

Monday, 7;05 PM, Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO (Weather: Gusty; high 50s)


Keys: This game was postponed due to Cam Newton’s positive covid-19 test, but somehow only 24 hours no one else did. Do the math, the Patriots likely aren’t winning, but Bill Belichick knows Andy Reid and the Chiefs too well to lose by two TDs, and the Patriots can run on a porous Chiefs run defense.



Atlanta Falcons 0-3 (+7) @ Green Bay Packers 3-0 (57)*: Packers 35-27

Monday, 8:15 PM, Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI (Weather: Mostly cloudy; low 50s) 

Keys: The Packers are home against the Bad News Birds, so make it rain. 

 

Note: Tennessee Titans @ Pittsburgh Steelers forced into "bye week" & New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs PPD until Monday at 7:05 pm due to covid-19.

 

Stay tuned for PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA Tuesday's Gone: Week 4 #NFL Game Reviews COVID-LOOMS EDITION coming by the Wednesday morning commute to your couch to work!

 














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