2019 NFL SEASON
P R O F O O T B A L L M E D I A
Week 12: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis)
THURSDAY NIGHT EDITION
THURSDAY NIGHT EDITION
2019 NFL SEASON WEEK 11:
11-3 .786 (WINS); 9-4-1 .692 (ATS); 9-5 .642 (O/U)
2019 NFL SEASON TOTALS:
107-53-1 .670 (WINS); 84-73-4 .535 (ATS); 90-68-3 .570 (O/U)
WEEK 11 TOP 5 GAMES:
TOP 5 GAMES SEASON TOTAL:
Note/Key (when applicable): Statistical analysis based on the following metrics (abbreviations): Points scored (PF); points against (PA); Point differential (PD) Yards gained (YG); Yards allowed (YA); Red Zone TD efficiency (RZ); 3rd-down efficiency (3rd); Turnover ratio (TO); Time of possession (TOP); Yards per play (YPP); Sacks (S); Interceptions (INT); Penalty yards (PEN); Against the spread (ATS). *All images from Google with permission to reuse without license* Statistical sources include, but not limited to: Pro Football Reference; Pro Football Focus; ESPN.com; NFL.com; TeamRankings.com. Point spreads and over/under figures are taken from the opening lines via Vegas Insider
NEW TO PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA FOR THE 2019 SEASON
< Drake voice >
"TOP 5 TOP 5 TOP 5"
Deshaun Watson has been light out during prime time games in his entire career and Thursday Night Football qualifies, believe it or not. (Image credit: Twitter)
Indianapolis Colts 6-4 (+4) @ Houston Texans 6-4 (45.5): Texans 27-24
Sunday, 1:00 PM, NRG Stadium, Houston, TX (Weather: Indoors)
Keys: The winner of this game will lead the AFC South, but the Colts already won the first head-to-head match up, so if the Texans lose Thursday night they’ll be one game back with only five games to go without any tiebreaker leverage. It should also be noted the Jacksonville Jaguars (4-6) face the Tennessee Titans (5-5) Sunday, meaning at worst the losing team will still only be three games back; the winner will be tied with the loser of this game. Houston and Indianapolis don’t just have the same record, they match up well statistically and personal-wise. According to Pro Football Reference the two teams rank 11th and 13th, respectively, in SRS, meaning if they played on a neutral field it would be a pick game. Well, the game is in Houston, where the Texans are 3-1, and they literally can’t afford to lose. The Colts will be without Marlon Mack, but Jonathan Williams rushed for 116 yards in his absence Week 11. The Texans also excel at run defense, ranking in the top-10 in attempts (10th), yards allowed (5th), TDs (9th) and ypa (3rd). The Colts come in with the better defense to face the Texans superior offense, but neither teams is dominant in one phase over the other team’s. Speaking of defenses, both are banged up at key spots, so I would strongly consider the over on the short week as the Texans get the close divisional win at home.
Week 12 Byes: Arizona Cardinals; Kansas City Chiefs; Los Angeles Chargers; Minnesota Vikings
Stay tuned for the remaining Week 12: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) coming Saturday!