2019 NFL SEASON
P R O F O O T B A L L M E D I A
Tuesday's Gone: Week 17 #NFL Game Reviews
REGULAR SEASON FINALE EDITION
REGULAR SEASON FINALE EDITION
2019 NFL SEASON WEEK 17:
11-5 .688 (WINS); 7-8-1 .467 (ATS); 7-6-3 .538 (O/U)
2019 NFL SEASON TOTALS:
165-89-1 .650 (WINS); 137-110-8 .555 (ATS); 134-115-6
.538 (O/U)
WEEK 17 TOP 5 GAMES:
N/A
N/A
TOP 5 GAMES SEASON TOTAL:
48-23-3 (.676)
Note/Key (when applicable): Statistical analysis
based on the following metrics (abbreviations): Points scored (PF); points
against (PA); Point differential (PD) Yards gained (YG); Yards allowed (YA);
Red Zone TD efficiency (RZ); 3rd-down efficiency (3rd);
Turnover ratio (TO); Time of possession (TOP); Yards per play (YPP); Sacks (S);
Interceptions (INT); Penalty yards (PEN); Against the spread (ATS). *All
images from Google with permission to reuse without license* Statistical
sources include, but not limited to: Pro Football Reference; Pro Football
Focus; ESPN.com; NFL.com; TeamRankings.com. Point spreads and over/under figures
are taken from the opening lines via Vegas Insider
NEW
TO PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA FOR THE 2019 SEASON
<
Drake voice >
"TOP
5 TOP 5 TOP 5"
Pro
Football Media will choose the Top 5 Betting Games of the Week for either the spread OR O/U denoted by an asterisk (*). Roll with our Top 5
and watch the money pile up all season!
Sam Darnold would like to hand this season off to someone else, perhaps the schoolgirl that gave him mono.
Sunday,
1:00 PM, New Era Stadium, Buffalo, NY (Weather:
70% rain;
low 50s)
Keys: The
seeding is set and the Bills are the 5th
seed, so they don’t stand to gain anything, but stand to lose
everything to injury. So this number is surprising in that I’d be
surprised if many of the Bills starters played. The Jets should jump
at the chance to make it look like they had a halfway decent season
if they finish 7-9, so look for the Jets to pull off the “upset” and
the weather to produce the under.
There wasn't much to expect here and we got what we expected.
There wasn't much to expect here and we got what we expected.
Cleveland
Browns 6-9
(-2.5)
v. Cincinnati Bengals 1-14
(44.5):
Browns
24-17 Bengals 33-23
Sunday,
1:00
PM, Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH (Weather:
100% rain;
low 60s)
Keys: No.
I suppose the idea was once they had Joe Borrow locked up they didn't want an Eli Manning situation so they showed him they were just kidding all year. Also, Soup Kitchens was immediately fired.
I suppose the idea was once they had Joe Borrow locked up they didn't want an Eli Manning situation so they showed him they were just kidding all year. Also, Soup Kitchens was immediately fired.
Green
Bay Packers 12-3
(-12.5)
@ Detroit Lions 3-11-1
(43):
Packers
27-17 Packers 23-20
Sunday,
1:00
PM, Ford Field, Detroit, MI (Weather:
Indoors)
Keys: So
the Packers beat the Minnesota Vikings handily last week and proved
they’re a legit 12-3 team, right? Wrong, but the Lions are no
litmus test and
the Packers are still in the hunt for a first round bye.
The Packers are the most overrated team heading into the playoffs, but they squeaked out a win v. the Lions and became the least inspiring NFC #2 seed of all time.
The Packers are the most overrated team heading into the playoffs, but they squeaked out a win v. the Lions and became the least inspiring NFC #2 seed of all time.
Los
Angeles Chargers 5-10 (-8.5)
@ Kansas City Chiefs 11-4
(44.5):
Chiefs
23-14 Chiefs 31-21
Sunday,
1:00
PM,
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO (Weather:
Mostly
cloudy;
low
40s)
Keys: The
Chiefs still have work to do. They could clinch a first round bye
with a win and a New England Patriots lose to the Miami Dolphins. Why
is KC only giving 8.5 points then? Because the Chargers are healthy
for the first time all season long. So are the Chiefs, which begs a
few questions I don’t feel like asking. Seems to me even if Philip
Rivers thinks this is his last game as a Charger, so what? The Chiefs
are better, have a respectable defense for the first time in years
(7th
scoring defense)
and are playing at home in 40-degree weather. Considering the
circumstances the Chiefs should win easily or maybe it is time for
those questions.
The Chiefs lucked out and landed the AFC's #2 seed after the Patriots dropped the ball. It's been real, Philip Rivers.
The Chiefs lucked out and landed the AFC's #2 seed after the Patriots dropped the ball. It's been real, Philip Rivers.
Exactly.
(Image credit: ProFootballWeekly)
Sunday,
1:00 PM, US Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
(Weather: Indoors)
Keys: The
Vikings have the 6th
seed locked and can’t move up because they lose the head-to-head
tiebreaker to the Seattle Seahawks. That almost screams Bears victory
to me, because the Vikings are as inconsistent as any 10-win team
with that much paper talent and the Bears are trying to salvage pride
as the enter a dark off-season rife with major disappointment and
underachieving. Not to mention a young starting QB with a crisis of
confidence issue. The 2018 Coach of the Year has a lot of work ahead
of him, but no one can prevent injuries.
Wow, PFM almost nailed the entire score. Without Dalvin Cook Minnesota's playoff trip will be short.
Wow, PFM almost nailed the entire score. Without Dalvin Cook Minnesota's playoff trip will be short.
New
Orleans Saints 12-3
(-13)
@ Carolina Panthers 5-10
(46):
Saints
24-21 Saints 42-10
Sunday,
1:00 PM, Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC (Weather:
90%
rain; high 60s)
Keys: The
Saints have a chance at a first round bye, but not much of a chance in the
pouring rain. Sorry, I meant a chance to cover. All eyes will be on
Run CMC Sunday to see if he can gain 216 yards from scrimmage and
take the single season record from Chris Johnson (2009:
2509 yards).
The Saints took care of business on the road, but will still be traveling for the Wild Card Round. In my opinion it's only fitting for a team and a QB that have made a living playing a sport meant to be played in imperfect conditions in perfect conditions.
The Saints took care of business on the road, but will still be traveling for the Wild Card Round. In my opinion it's only fitting for a team and a QB that have made a living playing a sport meant to be played in imperfect conditions in perfect conditions.
Keys: Don’t
believe in climate change? I use a team template for these articles
and the template is from Week 1 last year (mid-September).
The weather for this game
at the end of December is
the same – the low 80s. There’s
nothing in this game for us besides two Jameis Winston INTs for the
30/30 Club. Will the Atlanta secondary, ranked 20th
in INTs, be able to help Winston with that feat? Of course, Winston’s
INTs don't discriminate.
HE DID IT!!! THE 30/30 CLUB!!! Jameis Winston also set the new NFL record for pick-sixes: 6. And it's a contract year. Buc-kle up, Bucs fans.
HE DID IT!!! THE 30/30 CLUB!!! Jameis Winston also set the new NFL record for pick-sixes: 6. And it's a contract year. Buc-kle up, Bucs fans.
Miami
Dolphins 4-11
(-15.5)
@
New England Patriots 12-3
(45):
Patriots
27-10 Dolphins 27-24
Keys:
The
Patriots have a chance to secure the second seed and a first round
bye, which they desperately need to get things in order before they likely
play the Kansas City Chiefs again in the Divisional Round. End of story, although the story
may be closer the 15.5 points, but not if you’re using NE’s
record ATS in games favored by 10 or more points (5-1).
This is so 2019 Patriots. The league's best defense tired, DPoY candidate Stephon Gilmore had his worst game of the season and the Mighty Miami Dolphins pulled off late-season heroics for the second year in a row and cost NE the #2 seed, meaning they'll host the red-hot Tennessee Titans in the Wild Card Round. The times, they are a changin'.
This is so 2019 Patriots. The league's best defense tired, DPoY candidate Stephon Gilmore had his worst game of the season and the Mighty Miami Dolphins pulled off late-season heroics for the second year in a row and cost NE the #2 seed, meaning they'll host the red-hot Tennessee Titans in the Wild Card Round. The times, they are a changin'.
The future is bright for these Baltimore Ravens, but will resting Lamar Jackson come back to bite them?
Sunday,
4:25
PM, M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD (Weather:
80%
rain; mid-50s)
Keys: The
Ravens have locked up the top AFC seed and the Steelers need to win
and the Tennessee Titans to lose to make it to the playoffs in a year
no one on Earth expected the Steelers to do so.
The Steelers will be playing against half of the Ravens, so they
should be able to squeak out the win while sweating out the HOUvsTEN
game on the jumbo-tron. Wow, the NFL can get lucky sometimes.
Wait, so the Ravens are even good WITHOUT Lamar Jackson? I mean, RGIII surely wasn't the reason (96 passing yards; 1 INT). It was because the defense alone scored nine points. They also have the best kicker in the NFL. Lord help the rest of the league.
Wait, so the Ravens are even good WITHOUT Lamar Jackson? I mean, RGIII surely wasn't the reason (96 passing yards; 1 INT). It was because the defense alone scored nine points. They also have the best kicker in the NFL. Lord help the rest of the league.
Washington
Pigskins 3-12
(-11)
@ Dallas Cowboys
7-8
(44.5):
Cowboys
28-21 Cowboys 47-16
Keys: It’s
amazing a team can score 10 or fewer points in 20% of your games and
still be the top total offense and 8th
in scoring. The Cowboys cannot lose Sunday or they face the most
disappointing
year in a long list of disappointing years spanning over 20 years.
The Pigskins come in limping, but with Case Keenum back at the
helm. For some reason that makes me think the Pigskins stand a
chance...of covering. However, the money line would be a hilarious
hit, and not even a crazy risk with these basket case Cowboys.
Leave it to the 2019 Cowboys to crush their final opponent by 31 points just to see the Philadelphia Eagles secure the NFC East. If you're a Cowboys fan you're more catatonic then a Patriots fan; if you're anyone else you're laughing hysterically at what became of the 2019 Dallas Cowboys.
Leave it to the 2019 Cowboys to crush their final opponent by 31 points just to see the Philadelphia Eagles secure the NFC East. If you're a Cowboys fan you're more catatonic then a Patriots fan; if you're anyone else you're laughing hysterically at what became of the 2019 Dallas Cowboys.
Tennessee
Titans 8-7
(-3.5)
@ Houston Texans 10-5
(45):
Titans
27-20 Titans 35-14
Sunday,
4:25
PM, NRG Stadium, Houston, TX (Weather:
Indoors)
Keys: The
Titans just need to win and they’re in, but the Texans could win,
and if the Chiefs lose, the Texans would slide into the 3rd
seed and potentially avoid the Baltimore Ravens in the Divisional
Round. That’s a lot to risk for a possibly futile situation.
The Titans are a different team since Week 7,
going 6-3 in their nine games since starting the season 2-4. Most of
that has to do with Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry, and they’ll
be at it again Sunday against a Texans team expected to rest most of
their starters.
No one wants to face the Titans right now, but the New England Patriots have no choice. Or much a chance probably. It doesn't really seem like this Texans team will have much of a chance advancing, either, despite the home Wild Card Round game.
No one wants to face the Titans right now, but the New England Patriots have no choice. Or much a chance probably. It doesn't really seem like this Texans team will have much of a chance advancing, either, despite the home Wild Card Round game.
Sunday,
4:25
PM, TIAA Bank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL (Weather:
60%
storms; high 60s)
Keys: Things
were so promising for the Colts, then went to hell with Andrew Luck’s
preseason retirement, then became promising again, just to see the
Colts end up exactly where Las Vegas had them pinned: 7.5 wins. The
Colts wins O/U bettors and
the greater Indianapolis area will
be watching
this game closely. The rest of the country will not.
Send the fans home with a smile, the Jags brass said, and if we decide to go with Gardner Minshew next year we can just pretend both of our QBs make $11M rather than remembering we gave Nick Foles a $22M cap hit with $33M in dead cap money tied to it in 2020. Yikes.
Send the fans home with a smile, the Jags brass said, and if we decide to go with Gardner Minshew next year we can just pretend both of our QBs make $11M rather than remembering we gave Nick Foles a $22M cap hit with $33M in dead cap money tied to it in 2020. Yikes.
Of course the NFC Least comes down to Week 17 and the winner of the division will either be 9-7 (Philadelphia) or 8-8 (Dallas).
Sunday,
4:25
PM, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ (Weather:
40% rain;
low 40s)
Keys: All
the Eagles have to do is win and they win the NFC East and host a
playoff game. If they lose and the Cowboys win they’ll lose the
tiebreaker and miss the playoffs. That seems like a pretty simple
task against a 4-11 team, but that team is a divisional opponent that
would like nothing more than to ruin Philadelphia’s season, and at
this point the Eagles have suffered so much attrition that they have
about as much talent as the Giants, maybe less.
Fly, Eagles, fly, at least until Sunday.
Fly, Eagles, fly, at least until Sunday.
Sunday,
4:25 PM, Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO (Weather:
Sunny;
high 30s)
Keys: If
the Titans, Steelers and Jaguars all lose the Raiders are the 6th
seed. Well, they have to also beat the Broncos, but I’m not even
sure they can do that.
The Raiders move from the East Bay to the desert in a robotic floor vacuum next season, and Derek Carr might not be there to see it. Will anyone actually see them anymore, or will people just go for the halftime show? I suppose people will see when they go to watch their team play them.
The Raiders move from the East Bay to the desert in a robotic floor vacuum next season, and Derek Carr might not be there to see it. Will anyone actually see them anymore, or will people just go for the halftime show? I suppose people will see when they go to watch their team play them.
Sunday,
4:25
PM, Los Angeles Memorial Stadium, Los Angeles, CA (Weather:
Sunny; mid-60s)
Keys: Neither
team is making the playoffs, one team’s dream is probably over and
the other team’s rebuild is coming along at the expected pace,
except for Cardinals bettors, who have gone 9-5-1 ATS. Look for
that trend to continue Week 17. The Rams would like to salvage a 9-7 record in a division where two of the other
three teams are literally battling in Week 17 for the what could be
the top seed in the NFC and 9-7 would actually look pretty respectable when
people look back years from now. Just kidding, no one will care as
caring in anything has taken a generational exponential dive. Rams win; Cardinals
cover. I bet the Rams can’t wait to share an empty stadium with the
Chargers.
Despite the push, I love these Cardinals. Money in the bank all year long: 9-5-2 ATS. The Rams, on the other hand, were the exact opposite. Well, I'm not sure about that, but it seems like they are. Never mind, they were actually better...10-5-1. I assume there were some NFC West bettors that cleaned up in 2019.
Despite the push, I love these Cardinals. Money in the bank all year long: 9-5-2 ATS. The Rams, on the other hand, were the exact opposite. Well, I'm not sure about that, but it seems like they are. Never mind, they were actually better...10-5-1. I assume there were some NFC West bettors that cleaned up in 2019.
San
Francisco 49ers 12-3
(+3)
@ Seattle Seahawks 11-4
(47):
49ers
27-23 49ers 26-21
Sunday,
8:20
PM, Century Link Field,
Seattle,
WA
(Weather: 20%
rain; mid-50s)
Keys: The
NFL saved the best for last, a battle for the NFC West crown and
possibly the NFC’s top seed and home field advantage throughout the
NFC playoffs. Did I mention the return of Beast Mode? Seattle doesn’t deserve it. The most overrated team in
the NFL (0.8
ppg point differential)
has been exposed recently, losing two of their last three games by at
least two TDs. The 49ers are by no means overrated, but have lost two games in the past four weeks, but one lose was to the
AFC’s top seed (BAL).
Regardless, save any Russell Wilson miracles, and he does
apparently have a line to God, the 49ers have dominated on the road
this year (6-1)
while the Seahawks home field advantage (4-3)
seems like a thing of the past. The 49ers have a
chance to make a serious Super Bowl run and exact revenge on the
Baltimore Ravens, but it starts with a win at Seattle in the last regular season game of the 2019 season.
The NFL really did save some of their best for last, but despite the valiant Seahawks comeback, the 49ers locked up the NFC's top seed and could be facing these same Seahawks in two weeks.
The NFL really did save some of their best for last, but despite the valiant Seahawks comeback, the 49ers locked up the NFC's top seed and could be facing these same Seahawks in two weeks.
Stay tuned for Week 18: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) WILD CARD ROUND EDITION coming Friday!
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