2019 NFL SEASON
P R O F O O T B A L L M E D I A
Week 17: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis)
REGULAR SEASON FINALE EDITION
REGULAR SEASON FINALE EDITION
2019 NFL SEASON WEEK 16:
11-5 .688 (WINS); 10-5-1 .667 (ATS); 7-9 .438 (O/U)
2019 NFL SEASON TOTALS:
154-84-1 .647 (WINS); 130-102-7 .560 (ATS); 127-109-3
.538 (O/U)
WEEK 16 TOP 5 GAMES:
5-0 (1.000)
5-0 (1.000)
TOP 5 GAMES SEASON TOTAL:
48-23-3 (.676)
Note/Key (when applicable): Statistical analysis
based on the following metrics (abbreviations): Points scored (PF); points
against (PA); Point differential (PD) Yards gained (YG); Yards allowed (YA);
Red Zone TD efficiency (RZ); 3rd-down efficiency (3rd);
Turnover ratio (TO); Time of possession (TOP); Yards per play (YPP); Sacks (S);
Interceptions (INT); Penalty yards (PEN); Against the spread (ATS). *All
images from Google with permission to reuse without license* Statistical
sources include, but not limited to: Pro Football Reference; Pro Football
Focus; ESPN.com; NFL.com; TeamRankings.com. Point spreads and over/under figures
are taken from the opening lines via Vegas Insider
NEW
TO PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA FOR THE 2019 SEASON
<
Drake voice >
"TOP
5 TOP 5 TOP 5"
Pro
Football Media will choose the Top 5 Betting Games of the Week for either the spread OR O/U denoted by an asterisk (*). Roll with our Top 5
and watch the money pile up all season!
Sam Darnold would like to hand this season off to someone else, perhaps the schoolgirl that gave him mono.
Sunday,
1:00 PM, New Era Stadium, Buffalo, NY (Weather:
70% rain;
low 50s)
Keys: The
seeding is set and the Bills are the 5th
seed, so they don’t stand to gain anything, but stand to lose
everything to injury. So this number is surprising in that I’d be
surprised if many of the Bills starters played. The Jets should jump
at the chance to make it look like they had a halfway decent season
if they finish 7-9, so look for the Jets to pull off the “upset” and
the weather to produce the under.
Cleveland
Browns 6-9
(-2.5)
v. Cincinnati Bengals 1-14
(44.5):
Browns
24-17
Sunday,
1:00
PM, Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH (Weather:
100% rain;
low 60s)
Keys: No.
Green
Bay Packers 12-3
(-12.5)
@ Detroit Lions 3-11-1
(43):
Packers
27-17
Sunday,
1:00
PM, Ford Field, Detroit, MI (Weather:
Indoors)
Keys: So
the Packers beat the Minnesota Vikings handily last week and proved
they’re a legit 12-3 team, right? Wrong, but the Lions are no
litmus test and
the Packers are still in the hunt for a first round bye.
Los
Angeles Chargers 5-10 (-8.5)
@ Kansas City Chiefs 11-4
(44.5):
Chiefs
23-14
Sunday,
1:00
PM,
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO (Weather:
Mostly
cloudy;
low
40s)
Keys: The
Chiefs still have work to do. They could clinch a first round bye
with a win and a New England Patriots lose to the Miami Dolphins. Why
is KC only giving 8.5 points then? Because the Chargers are healthy
for the first time all season long. So are the Chiefs, which begs a
few questions I don’t feel like asking. Seems to me even if Philip
Rivers thinks this is his last game as a Charger, so what? The Chiefs
are better, have a respectable defense for the first time in years
(7th
scoring defense)
and are playing at home in 40-degree weather. Considering the
circumstances the Chiefs should win easily or maybe it is time for
those questions.
Exactly.
(Image credit: ProFootballWeekly)
Sunday,
1:00 PM, US Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
(Weather: Indoors)
Keys: The
Vikings have the 6th
seed locked and can’t move up because they lose the head-to-head
tiebreaker to the Seattle Seahawks. That almost screams Bears victory
to me, because the Vikings are as inconsistent as any 10-win team
with that much paper talent and the Bears are trying to salvage pride
as the enter a dark off-season rife with major disappointment and
underachieving. Not to mention a young starting QB with a crisis of
confidence issue. The 2018 Coach of the Year has a lot of work ahead
of him, but no one can prevent injuries.
New
Orleans Saints 12-3
(-13)
@ Carolina Panthers 5-10
(46):
Saints
24-21
Sunday,
1:00 PM, Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC (Weather:
90%
rain; high 60s)
Keys: The
Saints have a chance at a first round bye, but not much of a chance in the
pouring rain. Sorry, I meant a chance to cover. All eyes will be on
Run CMC Sunday to see if he can gain 216 yards from scrimmage and
take the single season record from Chris Johnson (2009:
2509 yards).
Keys: Don’t
believe in climate change? I use a team template for these articles
and the template is from Week 1 last year (mid-September).
The weather for this game
at the end of December is
the same – the low 80s. There’s
nothing in this game for us besides two Jameis Winston INTs for the
30/30 Club. Will the Atlanta secondary, ranked 20th
in INTs, be able to help Winston with that feat? Of course, Winston’s
INTs don't discriminate.
Miami
Dolphins 4-11
(-15.5)
@
New England Patriots 12-3
(45):
Patriots
27-10
Keys:
The
Patriots have a chance to secure the second seed and a first round
bye, which they desperately need to get things in order before they likely
play the Kansas City Chiefs again in the Divisional Round. End of story, although the story
may be closer the 15.5 points, but not if you’re using NE’s
record ATS in games favored by 10 or more points (5-1).
The future is bright for these Baltimore Ravens, but will resting Lamar Jackson come back to bite them?
Sunday,
4:25
PM, M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD (Weather:
80%
rain; mid-50s)
Keys: The
Ravens have locked up the top AFC seed and the Steelers need to win
and the Tennessee Titans to lose to make it to the playoffs in a year
no one on Earth expected the Steelers to do so.
The Steelers will be playing against half of the Ravens, so they
should be able to squeak out the win while sweating out the HOUvsTEN
game on the jumbo-tron. Wow, the NFL can get lucky sometimes.
Washington
Pigskins 3-12
(-11)
@ Dallas Cowboys
7-8
(44.5):
Cowboys
28-21
Keys: It’s
amazing a team can score 10 or fewer points in 20% of your games and
still be the top total offense and 8th
in scoring. The Cowboys cannot lose Sunday or they face the most
disappointing
year in a long list of disappointing years spanning over 20 years.
The Pigskins come in limping, but with Case Keenum back at the
helm. For some reason that makes me think the Pigskins stand a
chance...of covering. However, the money line would be a hilarious
hit, and not even a crazy risk with these basket case Cowboys.
Tennessee
Titans 8-7
(-3.5)
@ Houston Texans 10-5
(45):
Titans
27-20
Sunday,
4:25
PM, NRG Stadium, Houston, TX (Weather:
Indoors)
Keys: The
Titans just need to win and they’re in, but the Texans could win,
and if the Chiefs lose, the Texans would slide into the 3rd
seed and potentially avoid the Baltimore Ravens in the Divisional
Round. That’s a lot to risk for a possibly futile situation.
The Titans are a different team since Week 7,
going 6-3 in their nine games since starting the season 2-4. Most of
that has to do with Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry, and they’ll
be at it again Sunday against a Texans team expected to rest most of
their starters.
Sunday,
4:25
PM, TIAA Bank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL (Weather:
60%
storms; high 60s)
Keys: Things
were so promising for the Colts, then went to hell with Andrew Luck’s
preseason retirement, then became promising again, just to see the
Colts end up exactly where Las Vegas had them pinned: 7.5 wins. The
Colts wins O/U bettors and
the greater Indianapolis area will
be watching
this game closely. The rest of the country will not.
Of course the NFC Least comes down to Week 17 and the winner of the division will either be 9-7 (Philadelphia) or 8-8 (Dallas).
Sunday,
4:25
PM, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ (Weather:
40% rain;
low 40s)
Keys: All
the Eagles have to do is win and they win the NFC East and host a
playoff game. If they lose and the Cowboys win they’ll lose the
tiebreaker and miss the playoffs. That seems like a pretty simple
task against a 4-11 team, but that team is a divisional opponent that
would like nothing more than to ruin Philadelphia’s season, and at
this point the Eagles have suffered so much attrition that they have
about as much talent as the Giants, maybe less.
Sunday,
4:25 PM, Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO (Weather:
Sunny;
high 30s)
Keys: If
the Titans, Steelers and Jaguars all lose the Raiders are the 6th
seed. Well, they have to also beat the Broncos, but I’m not even
sure they can do that.
Sunday,
4:25
PM, Los Angeles Memorial Stadium, Los Angeles, CA (Weather:
Sunny; mid-60s)
Keys: Neither
team is making the playoffs, one team’s dream is probably over and
the other team’s rebuild is coming along at the expected pace,
except for Cardinals bettors, who have gone 9-5-1 ATS. Look for
that trend to continue Week 17. The Rams would like to salvage a 9-7 record in a division where two of the other
three teams are literally battling in Week 17 for the what could be
the top seed in the NFC and 9-7 would actually look pretty respectable when
people look back years from now. Just kidding, no one will care as
caring in anything has taken a generational exponential dive. Rams win; Cardinals
cover. I bet the Rams can’t wait to share an empty stadium with the
Chargers.
San
Francisco 49ers 12-3
(+3)
@ Seattle Seahawks 11-4
(47):
49ers
27-23
Sunday,
8:20
PM, Century Link Field,
Seattle,
WA
(Weather: 20%
rain; mid-50s)
Keys: The
NFL saved the best for last, a battle for the NFC West crown and
possibly the NFC’s top seed and home field advantage throughout the
NFC playoffs. Did I mention the return of Beast Mode? Seattle doesn’t deserve it. The most overrated team in
the NFL (0.8
ppg point differential)
has been exposed recently, losing two of their last three games by at
least two TDs. The 49ers are by no means overrated, but have lost two games in the past four weeks, but one lose was to the
AFC’s top seed (BAL).
Regardless, save any Russell Wilson miracles, and he does
apparently have a line to God, the 49ers have dominated on the road
this year (6-1)
while the Seahawks home field advantage (4-3)
seems like a thing of the past. The 49ers have a
chance to make a serious Super Bowl run and exact revenge on the
Baltimore Ravens, but it starts with a win at Seattle in the last regular season game of the 2019 season.
Stay tuned for Tuesday's Gone: Week 17 #NFL Game Reviews 2019 REGULAR SEASON FINALE EDITION coming Wednesday!
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