PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA: THE TIMES THEY ARE A-CHANGIN'

 2022 NFL SEASON

P R O F O O T B A L L M E D I A

2021 REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:

177-94-1 .653 (WINS); 153-117-2 .567 (ATS); 137-132-3 .509 (O/U)

  

 

 

DISCLAIMER: PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA IS FOR ANALYZING NFL FOOTBALL GAMES AND IS NOT A BETTING WEBSITE  

 

Good luck at the window this season!

ProFootballMedia is going through major changes for the 2022 NFL season so stay tuned! Check back this season as we transition towards video & blogs!

 

Editors Note: ProFootballMedia will no longer publish weekly

 games summaries ATS, however, as the website transitions to

 a video and blog format PFM will publish intermittent bets.

Stay tuned as PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA transitions during the 2022 NFL season!

ProFootballMedia.com

@profootballmed

PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA Tuesday's Gone: Week 22 #NFL Game Review SUPER BOWL LVI EDITION

2021 NFL SEASON

P R O F O O T B A L L M E D I A

Tuesday's Gone: Week 22 #NFL Game Review

SUPER BOWL LVI EDITION

 

SUPER BOWL LVI ROUND:

1-0 1.000 (WINS); 0-1 .000 (ATS); 0-1 .000 (O/U) 

2021 PLAYOFFS:

8-5 .615 (WINS); 7-6 .584 (ATS); 4-8-1 .333  (O/U)

2021 REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:

177-94-1 .653 (WINS); 153-117-2 .567 (ATS); 137-132-3 .509 (O/U)

  

 

Key (when applicable): Statistical analysis based on the following metrics (abbreviations): EWL (Expected W-L record); SoS (Strength of Schedule); SRS (Simple Rating System from PFR); Points scored (PF); points against (PA); Point differential (PD) Yards gained (YG); Yards allowed (YA); Red Zone TD efficiency (RZ); 1st downs (1st); 3^rd-down efficiency (3^rd); Turnover ratio (TO); Time of possession (TOP); Yards per play (YPP); P/R NY/A (Pass/Rush Net yards/attempt); Sacks (S); Interceptions (INT); Penalty yards (PEN); Against the spread (ATS). *All images from Google using Creative Commons license unless otherwise stated (including source)* 

 

 

DISCLAIMER: PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA IS FOR ANALYZING NFL FOOTBALL GAMES AND IS NOT A BETTING WEBSITE  

 

Good luck at the window this season!

The future may belong to Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow (9), but he'll have a hard time getting past Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey, Von Miller and the Los Angeles Rams defense. 

4 Los Angeles Rams 15-5 (-3.5) @ 4 Cincinnati Bengals 13-7 (48.5): Rams 27-23 Rams 23-20

SBLVI Sunday, 6:30 PM, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA (Weather: Indoors)

Keys: It must be weird being a guest in your own home, but such is the case Sunday when the Cincinnati Bengals "host" the Los Angeles Rams for Super Bowl LVI at SoFi Stadium in Sunny and evidently Super-Bowl-record hot Inglewood, CA. Super Bowl LVI is also the second Super Bowl (SB) in a row played in the home stadiums of one of the participants (Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 2021), something that had never happened in the previous 54 years. This is a game of two teams on completely different trajectories on the same path: The Cincinnati Bengals are a few years early after drafting Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase to eventually get to this point, while the Los Angeles Rams are all-in after trading away their future to get Matthew Stafford, Jalen Ramsey and Von Miller to win now. That makes for a great story line, especially with the "home team" factor, although the "home" stadium will be packed with celebrities and other athletes, among many other mostly not Rams fans, and is one of many great story lines. Will Stafford, OBJ and Aaron Donald finally get their elusive championship? Will Joe Burrow become the third player to win a National Championship and and SB title? Will Burrow become the first to win both and a Heisman trophy? Will Sunday's SB game be the hottest on record? Will the game follow the 2022 trend of record-breaking small score differentials or will it be a blow-out? Will the highly-touted individual match-ups live up to the hype or will one player dominate? There's a lot to look forward to in the game no one expected (i.e. GB@KC) , which could be a defensive battle between a Bengals team that has shown flashes of brilliance and a Rams team that can be among the league's most dominant, or two offenses that are capable of scoring 30 points on any given Sunday with the likes of Cooper Kupp and OBJ (LAR) and Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd (CIN). The key match-ups here are pretty clear: Aaron Donald and the Rams front seven against an inferior Bengals offensive line and Jalen Ramsey against Ja'Marr Chase. If Burrow can get the ball out quick to Higgins and Boyd, or if Joe Mixon can get going enough to get the play action going then the Bengals have a real chance at beating the Rams, but unless Stafford implodes under the pressure to win a SB, or Cam Akers fumbles the ball multiple times, Ramsey and Donald will lead a Rams defense chalk full of play makers like SBLV champion Von Miller, who has 115.5 career sacks (t-31st all-time) to victory and the cover. The Cincinnati Bengals are a great story that will likely be around for years to come, but the Rams paid for this shit.

Super Bowl LVI ended up one of the more exciting SBs in the past few years, the Rams won at home on a story book ending and the game even had the quintessential game-changing terrible calls, luckily off-setting to avoid major controversy. Jalen Ramsey had his head twisted off by Tee Higgins to start the second half as the Bengals went up 17-13, their second consecutive unanswered score after being down 13-3, but the officials somehow never noticed. Truth be told, I never saw it either, but I'm one person watching a television on Stardawg. Fear not, Rams fans and purists, the Bengals got absolutely screwed on a 4th & 1 pass interference call in the Red Zone that would've sealed the victory for the Bengals. The power of Stan Kroenke prevailed, as I predicted in the championship game review, and the officials gave the Rams four more chances to score on the doorstep, leading to the hyper risky but inevitable Cooper Kupp TD catch and even more inevitable subsequent SBLVI MVP (see below). Neither QB shined (In fact, Matthew Stafford threw 2 INTs), and the only players that jumped off the stat sheet besides Aaron Donald (see below) were WRs from each team, the aforementioned Higgins (4 REC/100 YDS/2 TDs) and the record-breaking Kupp (8 REC/92 YDS/2 TDs). We could see the Bengals back next year, but as far as the Rams are concerned the job is done. Besides, Donald and head coach Sean McVay might retire. Have a safe and productive offseason and maybe we'll see you next season! - PFM

Super Bowl LVI MVP: Aaron Donald 

Aaron Donald had 3 QB hits, including the game-winning hit on Joe Burrow to seal the victory, to go along with 4 tackles, 2 TFL and 2 sacks. In other words, Donald got robbed of the SBLVI MVP. 

Stay tuned PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA Week 1: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) OPENING WEEK EDITION coming September...maybe.

ProFootballMedia.com

@profootballmed

PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA Week 22: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) SUPER BOWL LVI EDITION

2021 NFL SEASON

P R O F O O T B A L L M E D I A

Week 22: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis)

SUPER BOWL LVI EDITION

 

CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND:

0-2 .000 (WINS); 2-0 1.000 (ATS); 0-2 .000 (O/U) 

2021 PLAYOFFS:

7-5 .583 (WINS); 7-5 .5583 (ATS); 4-7-1 .364  (O/U)

2021 REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:

177-94-1 .653 (WINS); 153-117-2 .567 (ATS); 137-132-3 .509 (O/U)

  

 

Key (when applicable): Statistical analysis based on the following metrics (abbreviations): EWL (Expected W-L record); SoS (Strength of Schedule); SRS (Simple Rating System from PFR); Points scored (PF); points against (PA); Point differential (PD) Yards gained (YG); Yards allowed (YA); Red Zone TD efficiency (RZ); 1st downs (1st); 3^rd-down efficiency (3^rd); Turnover ratio (TO); Time of possession (TOP); Yards per play (YPP); P/R NY/A (Pass/Rush Net yards/attempt); Sacks (S); Interceptions (INT); Penalty yards (PEN); Against the spread (ATS). *All images from Google using Creative Commons license unless otherwise stated (including source)* 

 

 

DISCLAIMER: PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA IS FOR ANALYZING NFL FOOTBALL GAMES AND IS NOT A BETTING WEBSITE  

 

Good luck at the window this season!

The future may belong to Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow (9), but he'll have a hard time getting past Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey, Von Miller and the Los Angeles Rams defense. 

4 Los Angeles Rams 15-5 (-3.5) @ 4 Cincinnati Bengals 13-7 (48.5): Rams 27-23

SBLVI Sunday, 6:30 PM, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA (Weather: Indoors)

Keys: It must be weird being a guest in your own home, but such is the case Sunday when the Cincinnati Bengals "host" the Los Angeles Rams for Super Bowl LVI at SoFi Stadium in Sunny and evidently Super-Bowl-record hot Inglewood, CA. Super Bowl LVI is also the second Super Bowl (SB) in a row played in the home stadiums of one of the participants (Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 2021), something that had never happened in the previous 54 years. This is a game of two teams on completely different trajectories on the same path: The Cincinnati Bengals are a few years early after drafting Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase to eventually get to this point, while the Los Angeles Rams are all-in after trading away their future to get Matthew Stafford, Jalen Ramsey and Von Miller to win now. That makes for a great story line, especially with the "home team" factor, although the "home" stadium will be packed with celebrities and other athletes, among many other mostly not Rams fans, and is one of many great story lines. Will Stafford, OBJ and Aaron Donald finally get their elusive championship? Will Joe Burrow become the third player to win a National Championship and and SB title? Will Burrow become the first to win both and a Heisman trophy? Will Sunday's SB game be the hottest on record? Will the game follow the 2022 trend of record-breaking small score differentials or will it be a blow-out? Will the highly-touted individual match-ups live up to the hype or will one player dominate? There's a lot to look forward to in the game no one expected (i.e. GB@KC) , which could be a defensive battle between a Bengals team that has shown flashes of brilliance and a Rams team that can be among the league's most dominant, or two offenses that are capable of scoring 30 points on any given Sunday with the likes of Cooper Kupp and OBJ (LAR) and Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd (CIN). The key match-ups here are pretty clear: Aaron Donald and the Rams front seven against an inferior Bengals offensive line and Jalen Ramsey against Ja'Marr Chase. If Burrow can get the ball out quick to Higgins and Boyd, or if Joe Mixon can get going enough to get the play action going then the Bengals have a real chance at beating the Rams, but unless Stafford implodes under the pressure to win a SB, or Cam Akers fumbles the ball multiple times, Ramsey and Donald will lead a Rams defense chalk full of play makers like SBLV champion Von Miller, who has 115.5 career sacks (t-31st all-time) to victory and the cover. The Cincinnati Bengals are a great story that will likely be around for years to come, but the Rams paid for this shit.

Super Bowl LVI MVP: Aaron Donald  

Stay tuned for Tuesday's Gone: Week 22 #NFL Game Review SUPER BOWL LVI EDITION coming Wednesday!

ProFootballMedia.com

@profootballmed

PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA Tuesday's Gone: Week 21 #NFL Game Reviews CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

2021 NFL SEASON

P R O F O O T B A L L M E D I A

Tuesday's Gone: Week 21 #NFL Game Reviews

CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

 

CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND:

0-2 .000 (WINS); 2-0 1.000 (ATS); 0-2 .000 (O/U) 

2021 PLAYOFFS:

7-5 .583 (WINS); 7-5 .5583 (ATS); 4-7-1 .364  (O/U)

2021 REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:

177-94-1 .653 (WINS); 153-117-2 .567 (ATS); 137-132-3 .509 (O/U)

  

 

Key (when applicable): Statistical analysis based on the following metrics (abbreviations): EWL (Expected W-L record); SoS (Strength of Schedule); SRS (Simple Rating System from PFR); Points scored (PF); points against (PA); Point differential (PD) Yards gained (YG); Yards allowed (YA); Red Zone TD efficiency (RZ); 1st downs (1st); 3^rd-down efficiency (3^rd); Turnover ratio (TO); Time of possession (TOP); Yards per play (YPP); P/R NY/A (Pass/Rush Net yards/attempt); Sacks (S); Interceptions (INT); Penalty yards (PEN); Against the spread (ATS). *All images from Google using Creative Commons license unless otherwise stated (including source)* 

 

 

DISCLAIMER: PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA IS FOR ANALYZING NFL FOOTBALL GAMES AND IS NOT A BETTING WEBSITE  

 

Good luck at the window this season!

The Los Angeles Rams are in the NFC Championship game in large part to their defense, led by 3x DPoY Aaron Donald (99).

4 Cincinnati Bengals 12-7 (+7) @ 2 Kansas City Chiefs 14-5 (54.5): Chiefs 33-27 Bengals 27-24 OT

Sunday, 3:00 PM, Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO (Weather: Sunny; low 40s)

Keys: Joe Mixon and Tee Higgins had a great season and have balled out in the playoffs so far, but the Bengals are Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase and everyone knows it, most notably the Kansas City Chiefs. Everyone also expects a shoot out from the teams that rank 4th (KC) and 7th (CIN) in both passing yards and ppg, respectively, so look for the two QBs to get competitive and give the betting public the over they bet on. Both teams can both struggle and excel at stopping the run, but neither teams really runs the ball (RuATT, CIN: 19th; KC: 20th), so look for the combined pass attempts to surpass 100. The Bengals have been a great story, but I don't see them beating the Chiefs at home, especially when Cincinnati's best defensive attribute is falling two sacks short of being in the top-10, yet are facing a Chiefs team that gives up the 3rd-fewest sacks in the league (CIN ranks 30th in protecting against QB sacks for what it's worth). Burrow and Chase could make it interesting and cover, but the Chiefs are trying to make history and this is one of the steps. 

Let's get real. The Chiefs held a 21-3 lead at halftime and everyone in the world was penning the Chiefs into their 3rd straight Super Bowl before someone laced Patrick Mahomes (3 TDs; 2 INTs) Gatorade with LSD at halftime and the Chiefs lead, and their Super Bowl aspirations, went up in Ja'Marr Chase's and Tee Higgens' dust (combined for 12 REC & 1 TD on 157 RYDS). The Bengals did nothing impressive enough to win this game besides making second half adjustments on defense, but the Chiefs certainly didn't deserve to win after saving some of their biggest coaching and offensive blunders of the season for the AFC Championship game against an inferior, but clearly destined, Bengals team. 

6 San Francisco 49ers 12-7 (+3.5) @ 4 Los Angeles Rams 14-5 (45.5): 49ers 24-23 Rams 20-17

Sunday, 6:30 PM, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA (Weather: Indoors)

Keys: Can the Super Bowl host make the Super Bowl two years in a row??? No, because the 49ers are that team that gets hot at the right moment, gels at the right moment, and finds something it's been missing most of the season, right at the right moment. The 49ers are back in the NFC Championship for the 3rd time in 11 years, most recently in 2019 when they defeated the Green Bay Packers, yep, and went on to lose Super Bowl LIV to the Kansas City Chiefs. Well, what do you know. We talked a lot about momentum last week and the same thing applies here: The 49ers have that it factor right now and it starts with the San Francisco defense and ends with Deebo Samuel. The 49ers were 23rd in TO differential during the regular season, but it was Cam Akers (2) and the Rams who were coughing the ball up last week, fumbling four times (Cooper Kupp; Brian Allen) and nearly letting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers steal the game after holding a 27-3 lead midway through the 3rd quarter. The 49ers were also t-5th in sacks and had the 6th-ranked passing defense during the regular season and have been dominant in the playoffs. The major problem the 49ers face is scoring points on a very good Rams defense (t-3rd sacks regular season), because Trey Lance is starting the game in place of Jimmy G and they were already struggling to score then (18 ppg). San Francisco already won here three weeks ago to even get into the playoffs, and Kyle Shanahan owns Sen McVay, so why would the 49ers let the Rams spoil the fun now? Look for San Francisco to put heavy pressure on Matthew Stafford and the Rams RBs, while forcing Kupp and an emotional OBJ to beat them alone. Trey Lance's mobility helps him escape the wrath of Donald and Von Miller, while Deebo Samuel continues to bask in the limelight, so look for the 49ers to ruin the host party and get their rematch with Patrick Mahomes. (Note: Jimmy G is scheduled to start Sunday).

The Rams became the second team in consecutive seasons to host the Super Bowl and also play in it (Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2021) after the football gods had never allowed it once in over 50 years. The 49ers held a 17-7 lead into the 4th quarter and Kyle Shanahan's dominance over Sean McVay and the Rams seemed imminent until the Rams felt the pressure from Stan Kroenke to win "home field advantage" and they rattled off 13 unanswered points, which of course started with a Cooper Kupp (11 RED & 2 TDs on 142 RYDS) TD,  to snatch the game from San Francisco and finally slay the dragon. So now instead of the Super Bowl rematch everyone expected we get the Super Bowl matchup no one envisioned, besides my buddy Junior from Boston, and a chance for guys like Matthew Stafford, OBJ and Aaron Donald to to cement their legacies in front of the home town fans like Drake from Toronto, JayZ and Beyonce from NYC, and Kevin Hart from Philadelphia. 

Stay tuned for our 7th annual Super Bowl preview: PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA Week 22: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) SUPER BOWL LVI EDITION coming Saturday!

ProFootballMedia.com

@profootballmed

PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA Week 21: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

2021 NFL SEASON

P R O F O O T B A L L M E D I A

Week 21: #NFL Game Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis)

CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

 

DIVISIONAL ROUND:

3-1 .750 (WINS); 3-1 .750 (ATS); 2-2 .500  (O/U) 

2021 PLAYOFFS:

7-3 700 (WINS); 5-5 .500 (ATS); 4-5-1 .444  (O/U)

2021 REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:

177-94-1 .653 (WINS); 153-117-2 .567 (ATS); 137-132-3 .509 (O/U)

  

 

Key (when applicable): Statistical analysis based on the following metrics (abbreviations): EWL (Expected W-L record); SoS (Strength of Schedule); SRS (Simple Rating System from PFR); Points scored (PF); points against (PA); Point differential (PD) Yards gained (YG); Yards allowed (YA); Red Zone TD efficiency (RZ); 1st downs (1st); 3^rd-down efficiency (3^rd); Turnover ratio (TO); Time of possession (TOP); Yards per play (YPP); P/R NY/A (Pass/Rush Net yards/attempt); Sacks (S); Interceptions (INT); Penalty yards (PEN); Against the spread (ATS). *All images from Google using Creative Commons license unless otherwise stated (including source)* 

 

 

DISCLAIMER: PRO FOOTBALL MEDIA IS FOR ANALYZING NFL FOOTBALL GAMES AND IS NOT A BETTING WEBSITE  

 

Good luck at the window this season!

The Los Angeles Rams are in the NFC Championship game in large part to their defense, led by 3x DPoY Aaron Donald (99).

4 Cincinnati Bengals 12-7 (+7) @ 2 Kansas City Chiefs 14-5 (54.5): Chiefs 33-27

Sunday, 3:00 PM, Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO (Weather: Sunny; low 40s)

Keys: Joe Mixon and Tee Higgins had a great season and have balled out in the playoffs so far, but the Bengals are Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase and everyone knows it, most notably the Kansas City Chiefs. Everyone also expects a shoot out from the teams that rank 4th (KC) and 7th (CIN) in both passing yards and ppg, respectively, so look for the two QBs to get competitive and give the betting public the over they bet on. Both teams can both struggle and excel at stopping the run, but neither teams really runs the ball (RuATT, CIN: 19th; KC: 20th), so look for the combined pass attempts to surpass 100. The Bengals have been a great story, but I don't see them beating the Chiefs at home, especially when Cincinnati's best defensive attribute is falling two sacks short of being in the top-10, yet are facing a Chiefs team that gives up the 3rd-fewest sacks in the league (CIN ranks 30th in protecting against QB sacks for what it's worth). Burrow and Chase could make it interesting and cover, but the Chiefs are trying to make history and this is one of the steps. 

6 San Francisco 49ers 12-7 (+3.5) @ 4 Los Angeles Rams 14-5 (45.5): 49ers 24-23

Sunday, 6:30 PM, SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA (Weather: Indoors)

Keys: Can the Super Bowl host make the Super Bowl two years in a row??? No, because the 49ers are that team that gets hot at the right moment, gels at the right moment, and finds something it's been missing most of the season, right at the right moment. The 49ers are back in the NFC Championship for the 3rd time in 11 years, most recently in 2019 when they defeated the Green Bay Packers, yep, and went on to lose Super Bowl LIV to the Kansas City Chiefs. Well, what do you know. We talked a lot about momentum last week and the same thing applies here: The 49ers have that it factor right now and it starts with the San Francisco defense and ends with Deebo Samuel. The 49ers were 23rd in TO differential during the regular season, but it was Cam Akers (2) and the Rams who were coughing the ball up last week, fumbling four times (Cooper Kupp; Brian Allen) and nearly letting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers steal the game after holding a 27-3 lead midway through the 3rd quarter. The 49ers were also t-5th in sacks and had the 6th-ranked passing defense during the regular season and have been dominant in the playoffs. The major problem the 49ers face is scoring points on a very good Rams defense (t-3rd sacks regular season), because Trey Lance is starting the game in place of Jimmy G and they were already struggling to score then (18 ppg). San Francisco already won here three weeks ago to even get into the playoffs, and Kyle Shanahan owns Sen McVay, so why would the 49ers let the Rams spoil the fun now? Look for San Francisco to put heavy pressure on Matthew Stafford and the Rams RBs, while forcing Kupp and an emotional OBJ to beat them alone. Trey Lance's mobility helps him escape the wrath of Donald and Von Miller, while Deebo Samuel continues to bask in the limelight, so look for the 49ers to ruin the host party and get their rematch with Patrick Mahomes. (Note: Jimmy G is scheduled to start Sunday)

Stay tuned for Tuesday's Gone: Week 21 #NFL Game Reviews CHAMPIONSHIP EDITION coming Wednesday!

ProFootballMedia.com

@profootballmed