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Thursday, October 16, 2014

Tuesday's Gone: Week 7 #NFL Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis)

 Remember this guy? He may not be fat anymore, but the results v. the Patriots will be the same.

Week 7: #NFL Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis)
Week 7 results (season): 11-4 wins (71-34-1 .670); 6-9 v. spread (45-60-1 .425)

Week 7 Note: At Pro Football Media we’re just one man. And that one man is away on business over the next few weeks, making it difficult to analyze the games to the length you might be accustomed. So for Week 7 I will only offer my predicted score, without the analysis. Stay tuned for Week 8, when things get back to normal at

New York Jet 1-5 (+9.5)@ New England Patriots 4-2 (45.5): Patriots 27-20 Patriots 27-25
Thursday, 8:25 PM, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ (Weather: Cloudy; mid-60s)

Reasons: Let’s be honest, this game has the makings of a blow out. The Patriots are out to prove to the world their 2-2 start was nothing more than a slow one, and the team has done so by blowing out their last two opponents while scoring at least 37 points in each game and winning by at least 17 points. The Jets are reeling, but they’ve played tough in every game, save the Chargers 31-0 blowout in which the team’s two offensive leaders, Geno Smith and Michael Vick, were either in the wrong film room or nowhere near a film room. New York even had a chance to tie the Broncos 24-24 late in Sunday’s game, but the Broncos ultimately won 31-17 after Aqib Talib’s pick-6 to seal the win. The Jets also play the Patriots tough despite any extenuating circumstances, and the Jets can rush the passer, Tom Brady’s kryptonite. Other than stopping the run, that’s all the Jets can do. New York is 1-5 for a reason – they’re awful, ranking at or near the bottom of the NFL in passing yards (last) and scoring offense/defense (30th/25th). The Patriots are hobbled on defense, but that shouldn’t matter against these Jets, and their 11th-ranked scoring offense is starting to click, although they lost Steven Ridley for the season. It’s also worth noting the Patriots have the league’s highest turnover ration (+9), while the Jets have the league’s worst (-9), likely to result in several scoring opportunities. The rival Jets could make the game closer than Patriots’ fans might like, but New England is too good for these Jets, no matter how much Rex fires them up for the game.

Carolina Panthers 3-2-1 (-7) @ Green Bay Packers 4-2 (48.5): Packers 27-24 Packers 38-17
Sunday, 1 PM, Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI (Weather: Sunny, 50s)

Atlanta Falcons 2-4 (-7) @ Baltimore Ravens 4-2 (49.5): Ravens 27-21 Ravens 29-7
Sunday, 1 PM, M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD (Weather: Sunny, 60s)

Tennessee Titans 2-4 (+5.5) @ Washington Natives 1-5 (46): Natives 28-21 Natives 19-17
Sunday, 1 PM, FedEx Field, Landover, MD (Weather: Sunny, 60s:)

Seattle Seahawks 3-2 (-7) @ St. Louis Rams 1-4 (43.5): Seahawks 30-21 Rams 28-26
Sunday, 1 PM, Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO (Weather: Indoors)

Cleveland Browns 3-2 (-5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars 0-6 (45): Browns 28-24 Jaguars 24-6
 Sunday, 1 PM, EverBank Field, Jacksonville, FL (Weather: Sunny, 70s)

Cincinnati Bengals 3-1-1 (+3) @ Indianapolis Colts 4-2 (49): Colts 27-24 Colts 27-0
Sunday, 1 PM, Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN (Weather: Indoors)

Minnesota Vikings 2-4 (+5.5) @ Buffalo Bills 3-3 (42.5): Bills 20-17 Bills 17-16
Sunday, 1 PM, Ralph Wilson Stadium, Buffalo, NY (Weather: Sunny, 40s)

Miami Dolphins 2-3 (+3.5) @ Chicago Bears 3-3 (48.5): Bears 24-21 Dolphins 27-14
Sunday, 1 PM, Soldier Field, Chicago, IL (Weather: Sunny, 50s)

New Orleans Saints 2-3 (+2.5) @ Detroit Lions 4-2 (49): Lions 27-24 Lions 24-23
Sunday, 1 PM, Ford Field, Detroit, MI (Weather: Indoors)

Kansas City Chiefs 2-3 (+4) @ San Diego Chargers 5-1 (44.5): Chargers 27-21 Chiefs 23-20
Sunday, 4:05 PM, Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA (Weather: Sunny, 70s)

Arizona Cardinals 4-1 (-3.5) @ Oakland Raiders 0-5 (44): Cardinals 24-20 Cardinals 24-13
Sunday, 4:25 PM, Oakland Co. Stadium, Oakland, CA (Weather: Sunny, 70s)

New York Giants 3-3 (+6.5) @ Dallas Cowboys 5-1 (48): Cowboys 27-24 Cowboys 31-21
Sunday, 4:25 PM, AT&T Stadium, Dallas, TX (Weather: Indoors)

San Francisco 49ers 4-2 (+6.5) @ Denver Broncos 4-1 (49.5): Broncos 24-21 Broncos 42-17
Sunday, 8:30 PM, Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO (Weather: Sunny, 70s)

Houston Texans 3-3 (+3.5) @ Pittsburgh Steelers 3-3 (45): Steelers 21-20 Steelers 30-23
Monday, 8:30 PM, Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA (Weather: 60% rain; 50s)

Check back Thursday and again Sunday for Week 8: #NFL Predictions (w/ spreads & analysis) at!

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